The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

OHIO OR BOSTON?

BLUE ASH, Ohio Ali Akbar stayed up all night crunching numbers for an election analysis that’s going to blow some peoples’ minds later today. A few hints: 7:57 a.m. ET. After crunching more early-vote numbers, @ali says: “We’ve got Ohio.” — Robert Stacy McCain (@rsmccain) November 4, 2012 Analysis shows 40% increase in GOP early […]

OHIO: MATH IS HARD

Nate Silver approaches a clue and almost gets it: For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically Biased Missed it by that much, as Maxwell Smart might say. His headline summarizes exactly what Republican poll-mongers have been saying since September, as they see poll after poll with crazy oversamples of Democrats. As for example, […]

FOUR MORE DAYS: Kid Rock Tonight in the Only County That Matters

The National Affairs Desk, Blue Ash, Ohio, Nov. 2, 2012 BLUE ASH, Ohio Six days since Ali Akbar and I arrived in Ohio, four days until Election Day, and we are right now at the epicenter of the political universe: Butler County may prove to be the key to the entire 2012 election, Ground Zero […]

FROM OHIO: POLLS, POLLS, POLLS

CINCINNATI, Ohio Pete Da Tech guy disassembles a Quinnipiac Poll that has samples of D+7 in Florida and D+8 in both Florida and Ohio, so that while Mitt Romney handily wins independent voters in both states, he nonetheless trails Obama by 1 point in Florida, 2 points in Virginia and 5 points in Ohio. These […]

Mark October 30 on Your Calendar: Democrat Panic Hits Pandemic Stage

COLUMBUS, Ohio This will be seen in retrospect as the day liberals began to realize that Obama was going to lose the election, the day The Great Wall of Denial (erected by Nate Silver and the Democrat Graveyard Whistling Choir) proved itself too weak to withstand an encounter with reality. Yesterday, Jim Messina called the Romney super-PAC’s ad […]

FROM OHIO: Schedule Scrambled; Obama, Romney Cancel Campaign Events

MARION, Ohio Looks like Hurricane Sandy has already caused major damage to my plans for the next couple of days, as both Mitt Romney and President Obama are canceling campaign events because of Hurricane Sandy’s impact on the East Coast. By the way, this storm is so large we’re getting effects as far inland as […]

FROM OHIO: ROMNEY GAINS IN STATE POLL, NOW TIED WITH OBAMA

CAMBRIDGE, Ohio Just pulled into a McDonald’s here on the  way to a Romney-Ryan rally in Marion — two and a half hours away — to quickly note the latest news via the Columbus Dispatch: Romney closes Obama’s lead to split Ohio Boosted by a surge among male voters who think he’s the best candidate […]

If Bias Doesn’t Matter …

. . . why is Dan Hodges cheering Nate Silver for “singlehandedly dismantling the myth of Mitt-mentum”? That is to say, if the reporting of poll data doesn’t influence voters one way or the other — if there is no bandwagon psychology effect created by such media narratives — then what does it matter whether journalists believe […]

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